The yield of 10-year treasury bonds hit a new low, and the industry has been optimistic about the bond market for a long time. Recently, the bond market has continued to stage a strong market, with the yield of 10-year and 30-year treasury bonds hitting record lows and the futures price of treasury bonds hitting record highs. As the tone of monetary policy shifts from "steady" to "moderately loose", the market expects to lower the RRR and cut interest rates. Many insiders believe that the strong bond market pattern is expected to continue until 2025. Under the background of further opening of interest rate downside, long-term bonds have become the focus of investors' layout. (SSE)EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.Top 20 US stock turnover on December 10th: Microsoft shareholders opposed the bitcoin investment proposal. On Tuesday, Microsoft, the fifth largest US stock turnover, closed down 0.60% with a turnover of 8.876 billion US dollars. On Tuesday, December 10th, Eastern Time, the shareholders of Microsoft voted against a proposal to allocate Bitcoin, arguing that it was not in the long-term interests of shareholders, and pointed out that Microsoft's existing strategy was already evaluating various investable assets including Bitcoin, which was part of Microsoft's broader investment framework. Earlier, Microsoft's board of directors urged shareholders to reject a suggestion from the National Center for Public Policy Research that the company invest 1% of its total assets in Bitcoin to hedge against inflation. (Global Market Broadcast)
A new generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability. According to a paper published in Nature magazine on the 10th, Google's latest generation of quantum chips has achieved a breakthrough in error correction capability, that is, the error is suppressed below a critical threshold. This quantum error correction function is considered as a necessary condition to realize the practical application of quantum computing in the future. After the performance of the chip is expanded, it may be able to promote the operation requirements of large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computing. (Science and Technology Daily)The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.CFO of OpenAI: I believe Musk will put national interests first, and IPO is a milestone in the development of startups.
Industry Report: API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by about 500,000 barrels last week. According to american petroleum institute (API) data, API crude oil inventories in the United States increased by+499,000 barrels in the week of December 6, compared with+1.232 million barrels in the previous week. Last week, API Cushing crude oil inventory was-1.517 million barrels, with the previous value of+112,000 barrels. Last week, the inventory of API refined oil gasoline was+2.852 million barrels (previous value+4.623 million barrels) and the inventory of distillate oil was-185,000 barrels (previous value+1.014 million barrels).US Treasury Secretary Yellen: I also expressed my concern about fiscal responsibility. We need to cut the deficit. I hope that Congress can try to pay for any extension of Trump's personal tax cuts passed in 2017.General Motors said that it will give priority to the development of advanced driver assistance systems to realize fully automatic personal cars and make persistent efforts on the basis of super cruise.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13